New Florida Poll: Governor's Race Tied, Moody Leads for Senate, Amendment 3 Short of 60 Percent
A survey of 500 likely Florida voters conducted October 26-28 puts Byron Donalds and David Jolly in a statistical dead heat for governor, gives Ashley Moody a clearer Senate lead, and leaves Amendment 3 well short of the 60 percent it needs.
Florida's governor's race is essentially tied in a new statewide poll released ahead of the November 3 election. The survey, conducted by Political Matrix and The Listener Group for Palafox Media Network between October 26 and 28 among 500 likely voters, puts Republican Byron Donalds at 40.3 percent and Democrat David Jolly at 38.8 percent among all respondents, with 20.9 percent undecided. Among voters who have made a choice, Donalds leads 50.9 percent to 49.1 percent. The poll's margin of error is plus or minus 4.38 percent.
The Senate picture is clearer. In the special election to fill the remainder of former Sen. Marco Rubio's term, Republican Ashley Moody leads Democrat Angie Nixon 41.8 percent to 35.8 percent, with 22.4 percent undecided — a 53.8 to 46.2 percent advantage among decided voters, the pollsters reported.
Amendment 3 faces the steepest climb. The measure, which would raise the non-school homestead exemption to $150,000 in 2027 and $250,000 in 2028, draws 32.8 percent support overall, with 31.3 percent opposed and 35.8 percent undecided. Because a constitutional amendment needs 60 percent to pass, the pollsters noted the measure currently sits well below that threshold, with undecided voters set to decide it in the final days.
